2014年塑料行业八大前瞻

2013NIANSULIAOXINGYEXIYOUCANBAN,JIYOUCHANPINJIAGEJIEDUANXINGDAZHANG,YENEISHANGJIAMANLIANXIAOYAN,YOUYOUCHANPINCHIXUDIMI,ZHENGCEDAYAHOUCANDANYIPIAN。2014NIAN,JIYUYUTIAOZHANRENGJIANGBINGCUN,NAZHONGCHANPINJIANGCHENGWEIXINDEMINGXINGCHANPIN?SULIAOSHICHANGSHIFOUHUICHUXIANXINDETOUZIFANGXIANG?ZHENGCEMIANCHONGJISHIFOUHAIHUIYANXU?XINDEJIAOYIMOSHINENGFOUCHENGWEISHICHANGCHANGTAI?2014NIANSULIAOXINGYEBADAQIANZHANJIANGJININDAAN。

1. 聚丙烯期货上市助力改善现货定价模式

欧洲杯直播    JUBINGXIQIHUOSHANGSHISHOUXIANJIANGWANSHANQIYEJINGYINGSHOUDUAN,YUMUQIANDEXIANHUOSHICHANG、XIANHUOZHONGYUANQISHICHANGGONGTONGXINGCHENGLEDUOCENGJIDESHICHANGTIXI,FENGFUQIYEJINGYINGQUDAO。DIERJIAGEFAXIANFANGMIAN,QIHUOSHICHANGCONGTUICHUZHIRIQIJIUYICHENGWEICANYUSHICHANGJIAGEXINGCHENGDEZHONGYAOYINGXIANGYINSU,FAZHANDAOMUQIANYIJINGCHENGWEIJIAGEXINGCHENGDEZUIZHONGYAOYINSU。DISANGUIBIFENGXIANFANGMIAN,QIHUOYOULIYUXIANGGUANQIYETONGGUOTAOQIBAOZHIHUIBIJIAGEBODONGFENGXIAN,HOUQIJUBINGXIBODONGJIAGEJIANGHUIGENGWEIMINGXIAN。DISIFANGMIANSHIJUBINGXIQIHUOTUICHUZHIHOU,JUBINGXISHICHANGBIAOXIANCHUDEJINRONGSHUXINGJIANGRIYITUCHU,SHOUJINRONGSHICHANGYINGXIANGJIANGYUELAIYUEDA。DIWUTAOLIJIAOYIFANGMIAN,SUIZHEJUBINGXIQIHUOSHICHANGFAZHAN,TAOLIJIAOYIJIANGCHENGWEIYIZHONGZHONGYAODEYINGLISHOUDUAN,YEJIANGCHENGWEIQIYELICAIDEZHONGYAOGONGJUZHIYI。

    JUTIDAODUIJUBINGXIXIANHUODINGJIAFANGMIAN,JUBINGXIQIHUOSHANGSHIJIANGGAIBIANJUBINGXIXIANHUODINGJIAMOSHI。MUQIANGUONEIJUBINGXISHICHANGJIAGESHIWANQUANSHICHANGHUADEYIGEJIAGE,QIHUOSHANGSHIHOUJIANGQUXIANGYUQIHUOJIAGE+JICHA,QIHUOZAIXIANHUOJIAGEXINGCHENGGUOCHENGZHONGDEHUAYUQUANJIANGSUIZHESHIJIANDETUIYIYUELAIYUEDA。

2. 伊朗问题缓和 塑料进口有望增加

    2013NIAN11YUE24RI,YILANGHEWENTITANPANZAIRINEIWAQUDEZHONGDATUPO。YILANGTONGYIZAIWEILAI6GEYUENEIZANTINGNONGSUOYOUSHENGCHAN,MEIGUOZETONGYIFANGKUANZONGJIADA70YIMEIYUANDEZHICAI,BINGZAI6GEYUENEIBUJINXINGXINDEZHICAI。CICIJINZHANZHAOSHIZHEMEIGUOYUYILANGDEDIDUIGUANXIJINYIBUHUANJIE,SHIJIENENGYUANJIEGOUDUANQIYEJIANGCHUXIANYIDINGZHUANBIAN。

欧洲杯直播    YILANGSHISHIJIEZHONGYAODEYUANYOUSHUCHUGUOZHIYI,YUANYOUCHULIANGWEIJUSHIJIEDIERWEI。DUIYUSULIAOXINGYENEIERYAN,YILANGSHIZHONGYAODEJUYIXICHUKOUGUO,QIHDPE、LDPEPAIHAOZAIGUONEISHICHANGZHANYOUZHONGYAOSHICHANGFENE。YOUYUZHICAIDEYUANYIN,ZAOCHENGYILANGHUOYUANGONGYINGBUWEN,DUINIANNEIXINGYEZAOCHENGZHONGDACHONGJI。YILANGWENTICHUXIANHUANHE,DUIYUNENGYUANSHICHANGHEGUONEISULIAOSHICHANGERYAN,LIDAYUBI。MUQIANQUANQIUJINGJIZENGZHANGRENGSHIFENCUIRUO,YOUYUGEZHONGFEIKEKONGYINSU,DAZONGSHANGPINJIAGEZHANGSHIJIAOKUAI,DUIJINGJIFUSUXINGSHIXINGCHENGYIZHI。YILANGGONGYINGZENGJIA,YOUWANGPINGHENGDANGQIANSHICHANGGONGQIUGUANXI,WENDINGJIAGEBODONGFENGXIAN。

3. 塑料制品部分产品发展前景良好

    SULIAOZHIPINGENJUQIWAIGUANXINGZHUANGKEFENWEIGUANCAI(GUANJIAN)、BANCAI、PIANCAI、XINGCAI(YIXINGCAI)、MOCAILIAO、ZHONGKONGCAILIAO、SULIAOXIANWEI、ZHUSUMOJUDENG,MEIGELINGYUDOUYOUQIGAOXINJISHUCHANPIN,2014NIANYIYONGSULIAO、FUSULIAO、GAOGONGNENGGUANCAI、GAOXINGNENGMOCAILIAO、XIANWEICAILIAODENGLINGYUJIANGYOUJIAOHAODEFAZHANQIANJING。

    YIYONGSULIAOZHIPINYONGYUXINXUEGUANZHIJIAZHIRUSHOUSHUYONGKEKUOZHANGQINANG、BUHANDEHPDEPVCRUANGUAN,SHENTOUXIYONGTEZHONGZHONGKONGSULIAOXIANWEI,RENZAOXUEGUAN、GUANJIE、XINZANGBANMODENGFANGMIAN,JISHUGAODUANXIANJIN,FAZHANQIANJINGGUANGKUO。

    FUSULIAOZHIPINKEYONGYUFAPAO、GAOPIN、JIAOLIANDENGGAOXINGNENGFUSULIAODIANXIAN,GAOXINGNENGJUSIFUYIXIXIANWEIJIQIPEITAOCHANPINYIJISHUICHULI、SHENTOUDENGFUSULIAOMOZUJIANDENG。

    GUANCAIJISHUYIJINGFEICHANGCHENGSHU,DANZAIGAOXINGNENGGUANCAILIAOFANGMIANRENGDAYOUKEWEI。GAOMOLIANGJUBINGXISHUANGBIBOWENGUAN,FUHECHANRAOZENGQIANGDENGDAKOUJINGPAISHUIPAIWUGUANCAI,KUANGSHANYONGZURANHEKANGJINGDIANDESHUANGKANG,FENZILIANG>200WANDECHAOGAOFENZILIANGJUYIXI(UHMW-PE)GUANCAIDENGLINGYUFAZHANQIANJINGBUKEGULIANG。

    MOCAILIAOFANGMIANCHUYUZHUANXINGSHENGJIZHONG,PUTONGMOGUOSHENG、GAODUANMOBUZU,MUQIANWOGUOJIANZHUWAIQIANGYONGGAOXINGNENGETFEMO,QICHE、FEIJIBIAOMIANBAOHUYONGTPUBOMO,QICHEYONGPVBBOLIJIACENGMO,EVATAIYANGNENGDIANCHIBEIBANFENGZHUANGMO,DIANRONGMO、LILIZIDIANCHIGEMO、GUANGXUEMODENGGAODUANBOMOZHIPINQIANJINGLEGUAN。

    SULIAOXIANWEICHAOSHENGTAIHUANBAOFANGXIANGMAIJIN。CHAOKUANCHAOHOUXIAOYINNAIMOXINGPVCRENZAOGEDIBAN,GAODANGZHUANGXIUYONGHUANBAOXINGJUYOUTOUQIGONGNENGDEJUANZHIBIZHI,QINGJIESHENGCHANGONGYIDESHUIXINGYUWURONGJIXINGJUANZHIHECHENGGE,KANGJUNFANGWU、FANGZIWAIXIAN、ZURAN、TOUQIFANGSHI、ZIJIEFANGWU、NAIGUA、NAIHOUXINGDENGGONGNENGXING、HUANBAOXING、SHENGTAIXINGXIANWEIHECHENGGE,ZHEIXIELINGYURENGSHIYUNHANCAIFUDEWOTU。

4. 五大通用塑料行业产能继续扩张

五大通用塑料产能状况一览

  PE PP PVC PS ABS
2012年产能(万吨) 1225 1218 2287 299.6 353.8
2013年产能(万吨) 1330 1322 2396 323.6 363.8
2014年预计产能(万吨) 1590 1777 2536 349 378.8
2013较2012年增长率 8.57% 8.54% 4.77% 8.01% 2.83%
2014较2013年增长率 19.55% 34.42% 5.84% 7.85% 4.12%

    SHANGBIAOKEYIKANCHU,2014NIANTONGYONGSULIAOXINGYECHANNENGKUOZHANGRENGHUICHIXU,YOUQISHIJUYIXI、JUBINGXICHANPIN,CHANNENGKUOZHANGSUDUYIJIUJIAOKUAI,JUBINGXICHANPIN2014NIANDEZENGZHANGLVSHENZHIYOUWANGCHAOGUO30%,JUTIFENXILAIKAN,JUXITINGCHANPINDECHANNENGZENGSUJIAKUAI,ZHUYAOYOUYUJINJINIANMEIZHIXITINGXIANGMULUXUSHANGMA,FENFENTUICHUTOUCHANJIHUA,ZAI2014NIANJUBINGXIXINZENGDECHANNENGZHONG,MEIZHIXITINGXIANGMUZHAN80%ZUOYOU。SUIZHEJUXITINGCHANNENGCHIXUKUOZHANG,JIEGOUXINGGUOSHENGXIANXIANGJIANGZHUJIANCHUXIAN,JUXITINGCHANPINDEJINKOUYILAIDUYOUWANGJIANGDI。PVCZUOWEIWUDATONGYONGSULIAOWEIYIDEMINGXIANGUOSHENGCHANPIN,2014NIANCHANNENGKUOZHANGSUDUBINGWEIFANGHUAN,KUOZHANGZHUYAOTIXIANZAIXIANYOUQIYEDEKUOCHAN,YIJIBANQIANXIANGMUDEZAIJIANSHANG,XINZENGCHANNENGJIANGZHUYAOJIZHONGYUSHENGCHANCHENGBENYOUSHIJIAOWEIMINGXIANDEXIBUDIQU。PSCHANPINYUJI2014NIANKUOCHANRENGZAICHIXU,DANSHIKUOCHANSUDUJIAOQIANQIFANGMAN,ZHUYAOYINXUQIUBUJIYUQI。ABSZENGSUJIAO2013NIANJIANGYOUZENGJIA,YUPSTONGSHIBIAOXIANCHULETONGYONGLIAOZHUJIANGONGYINGCHONGZU,GAODUANLIAOYIJIUDUANQUEDEJUMIAN。

5. 改性塑料市场发展空间依旧广阔

    GAIXINGSULIAOSHIZAITONGYONGSULIAOHEGONGCHENGSULIAODEJICHUSHANG,JINGGUOTIANCHONG、GONGHUN、ZENGQIANGDENGFANGFAJIAGONG,TIGAOLEZURANXING、QIANGDU、KANGCHONGJIXING、RENXINGDENGFANGMIANDEXINGNENGDESULIAOZHIPIN。TASHISHEJIMIANGUANG、KEJIHANLIANGGAO,NENGCHUANGZAOJUDAJINGJIXIAOYIDEYIGESULIAOCHANYELINGYU。

    GAIXINGSULIAOYINGYONGLINGYUFEICHANGGUANGFAN,XIAYOUCHANYEZHUYAOYOUJIAYONGDIANQI、QICHE、DIANZIDIANQI、BANGONGSHEBEIDENG。ZUOWEIHUAGONGXINCAILIAOLINGYUZHONGDEYIGEZHONGYAOZUCHENGBUFEN,GAIXINGSULIAOYIBEIGUOJIALIEWEIZHONGDIANFAZHANDEKEJILINGYUZHIYI。SUIZHECHENGSHIHUATUIJIN、XINNONGCUNJIANSHE、XINXINGZHANLVECHANYEDETUIJIN,YEJIANGBUDUANYOUXINDEGAIXINGSULIAOCHANPINCHUXIAN。“YISUDAIGANG”、“YISUDAIMU”DEFAZHANQUSHIYEJILEGAIXINGSULIAOXINGYEGENGGUANGKUODEFAZHANKONGJIAN。TONGSHI,JIAOGAODEXINGJIABIHEDUIHUANJINGDEYOUHAOGENGSHIDEGAIXINGSULIAOHUODEGEXINGYEYIZHIRENTONG,XUQIUCHENGKUAISUZENGZHANGZHISHI。ZUIJINJINIANZHONGGUOGAIXINGSULIAOCHANLIANGNIANJUNZENGZHANGLVDOUZAI20%YISHANG。DAO2015NIAN,GUONEIGAIXINGSULIAOXIAOFEILIANGYOUWANGDADAO1000 WANDUN,NIANJUNZENGZHANGLVDADAO15%ZUOYOU。SUOYI,WOMENKEYIYUJI,2014NIAN,GAIXINGSULIAOSHICHANGYIJIUSHIZHENGGESULIAOXINGYEDEYAOYANSUOZAI。

6. 电子化交易模式将逐步走向成熟

欧洲杯直播    YOUYUCHUANTONGDE“YIDUIYI”DEXIAOSHOUMOSHICUNZAIXIAYOUWEIYUEFENGXIAN,KEHUGONGGUANYIJIYEWUYUANTUANDUIPEIYANGFANGMIANYEWUXINGZENGJIALEBUSHAOCHENGBEN,LINGWAIXIAOLVXIANGDUIDIXIA。JINNIANLAISUIZHERIYONGPINZAIDIANZISHANGWUMOSHISHANGDEJUDACHENGGONG,YIDINGCHENGDUSHANGTUIJINDAZONGSHANGPINXIANGDIANZIHUAJIAOYIMOSHIDEFAZHAN。JINJINIANLUXUCHUXIANDEGUANGJIAOSUO、BOJIAOSUODENG,YOUXIAODETISHENGLEXIANHUOCHANPINDEXIAOSHOUQUDAO。TONGGUOZHEIZHONGLEIQIHUODEDIANZIHUAJIAOYIPINGTAI,MAIMAISHUANGFANGBUXUYAO“YIDUIYI”TANJIAGE,MAIFANGKEYIZAIJIAOYISUOGENJUXUQIUXUANZEHESHIDEJIAGEMAICHUDINGLIHETONG,MAIFANGKEYIGENJUXUQIUXUANZEHESHIDEJIAGEMAIRUDINGLIHETONG,BA“YIDUIYI”DETANJIABIANCHENGLE“DUODUIDUO”DETANJIA,YIJIADEKONGJIANJIJUKUODA。LINGWAITONGGUOBAOZHENGJINZHIDU,YOUXIAODIGUIBILEKEHUWEIYUEDAILAIDEFENGXIAN。XIAYOUKEHUKETONGGUOPANMIANQUSHIHEDANGTIANDEZHANGDIESHISHIXINGQING,ZENGJIAYUSHANGYOUCHANGSHANGDEYIJIACHOUMA,YIGENGYOULIYUZIJIDEJIAGEHUODEHUOYUAN,LINGWAIHAIKEYIBANGZHUXIAYOUQIYEKEHUJIEYUEBAOKUOXINXISOUXUNCHENGBENZAINEIDEGEZHONGJIAOYICHENGBEN。

欧洲杯直播    JINGUANDIANZIHUAJIAOYIYOUDIANZHONGDUO,DANSHIGEGEDIQUDOUYOUZISHENDESHICHANGTEDIAN,GENXIAYOUDEJIESUANFANGSHIBUJINXIANGTONG,ERQIECHUANTONGDEMAOYIMOSHIZAOYICHENGWEISHICHANGRENSHIDEXIGUAN,DIANZIPANSHANGDEHUOYUANRENGXIANGDUIYOUXIAN,JIAOGECANGFENBUXIANGDUIJIAOSHAO,MUQIANDIANZIHUAJIAOYISHANGBUNENGMANZUDUOSHUKEHUDEXUQIU,JIAOYILIANGZHANSHICHANGZONGLIANGSUOZHANDEBILIYEXIANGDUIYOUXIAN。SUIZHE2014NIANJINGJIGAIGEDESHENHUAYIJIHULIANWANGJINRONGDENGFUWUMOSHIDEFAZHAN,SULIAOCHANPINDEDIANZIHUAJIAOYIJIANGZHUBUCHENGSHU。

7. 再生行业环保整顿政策延续  力度加大

欧洲杯直播    DUIZAISHENGSULIAOXINGYEERYAN,HUANBAOZHENGDUNBINGBUMOSHENG,ZAI2013NIANQUANGUOZHANKAILEHONGHONGLIELIEDEHUANBAOZHENGDUN。JUDIAOYANXIANSHI,ZHENGDUNYANLIDESHICHANGTINGGONGLVGAODA80-100%。QIZHONG,YIFEISULIAOJIAGONGWENMINGDE“FEISULIAOZHIDOU”CIXIZAIZHENGDUNZHONGDASHOUDAJI,90%FEISULIAOCHANGJIAJIBENGUANTING,SHENGYUBUZU10%DUOSHIGUIMOXINGCHANGJIAJUBEIWUSHUICHULINENGLIHUOJISHAOSHUCHANGJIASIXIATOUDUYUNYING。

    2013NIANDEHUANBAOZHENGDUNDELANGCHAOYILANGGAOGUOYILANG,DUIZAISHENGSULIAOSHICHANGCHANSHENGLESHENYUANDEYINGXIANG。JIJIANGYINGLAI2014NIAN,HUANBAOZHENGDUNZHENGCERENGJIANGYANXU,BINGZAISHEJIMIAN、LIDUDENGFANGMIANJINYIBUTISHENG。YIFANGMIAN,DUIYIZHENGDUNDESHICHANGJINXINGJINYIBUDEJIANGUAN,HELIYINDAOYEZHEZHUANXINGJIZAICHUANGYE。LINGYIFANGMIAN,DUIYUQUANGUOGEDIFENSANDEFEISULIAOSHICHANGJIANGJINXINGGENGWEIYANGEDEZHENGDUN。JULEJIE,2014NIAN3YUEFENYUYAOSHICHANGHUANBAOZHENGDUNJIANGJINYIBUSHENHUA,LIDUGENGDA,SHEJIMIANGENGGUANG。YUCITONGSHI,HEBEIFEISULIAOSHICHANGDEZHENGDUNYEJIANGCHIXU,MUQIANQUANGUOGECHENGSHIHUANJINGWURANBANGDANSHANGHEBEIBANGSHANGYOUMING,ZHEIJIANGDAOZHIGAIDIHUANBAOZHENGDUNLIDUBUDUANJIADA。2014NIANHUANJINGWENTIRENGJIANGSHIZHENGFUYUSHEHUIZHONGDIANGUANZHUDEREDIANHUATI,YOUXIAOKONGZHIGEXINGGEYEZAOCHENGDEWURANJIANGSHIZHENGFUGONGZUODEZHONGZHONGZHIZHONG。

    ZHENDUIFEISULIAOJIAGONGWURANDEHUANBAOZHENGDUNGONGZUOYEJIANGBANSUIZHE2014NIANDEDAOLAIERZAICICHUIXIANGHAOJIAO。SHANDONG、ZHEJIANG、GUANGDONGDENGZHUYAOFEISULIAOSHICHANGDEHUANBAOZHENGDUNRENGJIANGRUHUORUTUDIJINXING。QUEFAJISHU、GUIMOZHICHENGDEXIAOZUOFANGRENGJIANGMIANLINJIAODADESHENGCUNYALI。HUANBAOZHENGDUNYUZAISHENGSHICHANGDEZHUANXINGSHENGJIJIESHIFUZAERZHANGQIDEGONGCHENG,DUANQINEIWOMENKEYIKANDAOBIAOMIANDEXIAOGUO,DANSHISHIJIDEYINDAOXINGGAIBIANYUXINGYETUIDONGYIYIRENGXUYAOWOMENNAIXIN、YANJINDEDENGDAIYUKAOCHA。

8. PVC行业政策影响仍不容忽视

欧洲杯直播    ZHONGGUOPVCXINGYEFAZHANYIYOUKUAISUGUIMOKUOZHANGBURULEDIAOZHENGSHIQI,2013NIANWOGUOJIXUCHUTAIYIXILIEZHENGCELAICUJINPVCXINGYEDEJIANKANGFAZHAN,RUTAOTAILUOHOUCHANNENG、CHANYEJIEGOUDIAOZHENG、GUOJIGONGGONGYUEDENG。2014NIAN,ZHEIXIEZHENGCEDEYINGXIANGJIZUOYONGRENGBURONGHUSHI。

    2013NIANFAGAIWEIBANBU《GUOJIAFAZHANGAIGEWEIGUANYUXIUGAI<CHANYEJIEGOUDIAOZHENGZHIDAOMULU(2011NIANBEN)>YOUGUANTIAOKUANDEJUEDING》,XIANGGUANGUIDINGZHONGXIANZHILEIXIANGMUWEI20WANDUN/NIANYIXIAYIGUIFAJULVYIXI、QISHIGUIMOXIAOYU30WANDUN/NIANDEYIXIYANGLVHUAFAJULVYIXIDENG,TAOTAILEIXIANGMUGAOGONGCUIHUAJI(LVHUAGONGHANLIANG6.5%YISHANG)HESHIYONGGAOGONGCUIHUAJIDEYIGUIFAJULVYIXISHENGCHANZHUANGZHI(2015NIAN)。SHOUCIZHENGCEYINGXIANG,SHUJUXIANSHI,2014NIANPVCJIHUAXINZENGCHANNENG140WANDUNZHONG,JIBENDOUSHIYUANYOUPVCQIYEDEKUOJIANHUOSHIQIYETAOTAILUOHOUCHANNENGHOUBANQIANZHONGJIANFUHEYAOQIUDEPVCJIQIPEITAOZHUANGZHI,YIXIEQIANQIGUIHUADEXINXIANGMURUZHONGMEIXINGANNENGYUANDENGBEIPOGEZHIHUOLIUCHAN,YOUXIAODEQIDAOTAOTAILUOHOUCHANNENG、HUAJIEBUFENGUOSHENGCHANNENGDEZUOYONG。

欧洲杯直播    2013NIANGONGXINBUZHUDAODE《LVJIANXINGYEZHUNRUTIAOJIAN》XIUDINGGONGZUOZHENGZAIKAIZHAN,2014NIANYOUWANGCHUTAI;2013NIANNIANDILIANHEGUOHUANJINGGUIHUASHUFABUDEGUOJIGONGGONGYUESHENGXIAOZAIJI。ZHEILIANGXIANGZHENGCEQIANGHUALEDUIGUIMO、QUYUBUJU、NENGHAOBIAOZHUN、ANQUANPINGJIABIAOZHUN、PEITAOSHESHIHEHUANJINGPINGJIADENGQUANFANGWEIDEYAOQIU,YEWEIWOGUOPVCXINGYEDEKEXUEFAZHANZHIMINGDAOLU,JIAKUAIXINGYEDIAOZHENGDEBUFA。MUQIANXINJIANGTIANYEPVCZHUANGZHIYIJINGSHIXIANDIGONGHUA、XINJIANGZHONGTAIYEZAITUIJINDIGONGCHUMEIDETIDAIGONGZUO,SHANDONGXINLONG、HEBEISHENGHUADENGQITAYIXIEPVCQIYEYEZAIJIJIZHILIYUDIGONGCHUMEIDEYANFAJITUIGUANGYINGYONG,SHENZHIYIXIEWUGONGCHUMEIDEJISHUCHUANGXINGONGZUOYEBEIFAPVCQIYETISHANGRICHENG。2014NIAN,WOGUOHUIYOUGENGDUODEPVCQIYEJIARUDAODIGONGCHUMEISHENGCHANDEDUIWUZHONG。

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